So the poll closed yesterday. Nearly everyone who felt qualified to compare 10s versus 25s believes the 10 man versions are harder.
I tend to agree. The normal raids just do not provide any opportunity to recover from a mistake. They are also sufficiently difficult that if a tank or healer is under geared the encounters will be too much to handle. There is a little wiggle room for DPS, but not nearly as much as the heroic versions.
Another telling clue to the relative ease of heroic raids has been the proliferation of guilds willing to pug as many as 7 or 8 members on a regular basis.
This would be the equivalent of pugging 2 to 3 members of a 10 man raid. Outside of Vault 10, I just have not seen that happen. You would think, the success rate of heroic pugs would lead to greater 10 man pugs as well. I have to think the relative difficulty of normal raids prevents this.
To sum up my opinion, I believe the normal raid encounters are more difficult to complete due to less room for error and under geared players than heroic raids. The difficulty in organizing 25 people is less than putting together the right 10 people to clear the same content. Adjusting the hitpoints and damage output of the mobs and bosses are not balanced between the two at this time.
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